topsecretdailynotesfile

Jun 11, 2026, 01:39 PM

TODAY

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points (FPTS), using ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, minus-2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. RST%: The pitcher's roster percentage in ESPN leagues. W%: The individual starting pitcher's win probability using ESPN projections. IP: Projected innings pitched. H+BB: Projected hits plus walks allowed. ER: Projected earned runs allowed. K: Projected strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, the bulk pitcher is listed and indicated with an asterisk.

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
12.9	Bryan Woo	R	@BAL	99.2%	43%	6.0	6.6	2.4	5.9
12.7	Christian Scott	R	STL	20.0%	40%	6.0	7.3	2.1	6.1
11.2	Merrill Kelly	R	@MIA	27.6%	42%	6.3	7.8	2.8	5.4
10.7	Anthony Kay	L	ATL	5.1%	36%	5.5	6.6	2.2	4.9
10.0	Hunter Dobbins	R	@NYM	4.2%	22%	5.0	5.9	1.6	4.2
9.8	Martin Perez	L	@CWS	11.0%	26%	5.4	6.4	2.2	4.6
9.4	Zebby Matthews	R	@DET	13.2%	36%	6.0	7.7	3.2	5.6
8.9	Justin Wrobleski	L	@PIT	73.4%	34%	5.6	7.5	2.7	4.7
8.7	Kyle Bradish	R	SEA	66.2%	25%	5.5	7.4	2.8	5.3
8.2	Kumar Rocker	R	@KC	5.8%	33%	5.5	7.3	2.9	4.6
7.9	Mitch Keller	R	LAD	33.2%	33%	5.9	8.2	3.2	4.9
7.6	Keider Montero	R	MIN	7.2%	26%	5.1	6.6	2.5	3.9
6.8	Tyler Phillips	R	ARI	1.8%	13%	4.4	5.9	2.1	3.8
6.3	Michael Wacha	R	TEX	67.9%	23%	5.1	7.2	3.0	4.4
2.6	Edward Cabrera	R	@COL	30.9%	28%	5.1	8.3	5.0	5.5
0.2	Ryan Feltner	R	CHC	1.2%	8%	4.1	7.0	4.3	3.7

TOMORROW

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
14.5	Joe Ryan	R	STL	97.5%	49%	6.5	7.2	2.6	6.9
13.7	Jacob Misiorowski	R	PHI	98.9%	37%	5.7	6.5	2.1	7.0
13.2	Nolan McLean	R	ATL	88.7%	41%	5.7	6.4	1.7	5.4
12.2	Roki Sasaki	R	@CWS	43.1%	44%	6.5	8.1	2.8	6.2
11.8	Trey Yesavage	R	NYY	64.7%	31%	5.5	6.6	2.1	6.0
11.5	Braxton Ashcraft	R	MIA	85.9%	39%	6.1	7.5	2.5	5.8
11.0	Spencer Strider	R	@NYM	87.9%	21%	5.4	6.5	2.0	5.8
10.8	Ryan Weathers	L	@TOR	43.5%	33%	5.9	7.5	2.7	6.1
10.7	Ben Brown	R	@SF	47.5%	35%	5.8	7.2	2.5	5.4
9.9	Bryce Miller	R	@WSH	55.0%	38%	5.2	6.2	2.3	4.8
9.7	Landen Roupp	R	CHC	30.4%	29%	5.8	7.6	2.5	5.3
9.5	Shane Baz	R	SD	31.0%	36%	5.8	7.6	2.9	5.3
9.5	Sean Burke	R	LAD	11.3%	31%	5.9	8.0	2.9	5.7
8.8	Tatsuya Imai	R	@KC	20.5%	49%	6.5	9.5	3.7	5.8
8.6	Jack Leiter	R	@BOS	19.0%	32%	5.7	7.9	3.1	5.7
8.5	Jack Flaherty	R	@CLE	35.8%	24%	5.0	6.6	2.5	5.3
8.1	Sandy Alcantara	R	@PIT	70.7%	29%	5.8	7.9	3.0	4.7
8.0	Tanner Bibee	R	DET	56.8%	22%	4.8	6.1	2.3	4.6
7.8	Gage Jump	L	COL	14.3%	31%	5.1	7.2	2.9	5.4
7.5	Sonny Gray	R	TEX	83.1%	26%	5.1	7.0	3.1	5.5
7.5	Eduardo Rodriguez	L	@CIN	49.5%	35%	5.7	8.1	3.6	5.6
7.4	Shane McClanahan	L	@LAA	65.7%	26%	4.9	6.6	2.6	4.7
7.3	Luinder Avila	R	HOU	0.4%	23%	4.9	6.7	2.4	4.2
7.0	Nick Lodolo	L	ARI	48.6%	29%	5.6	8.2	3.5	5.5
6.8	Griffin Canning	R	@BAL	0.9%	26%	5.1	7.3	2.9	4.7
6.5	Zack Littell	R	SEA	6.9%	15%	4.8	6.1	2.6	3.9
6.3	Kyle Leahy	R	@MIN	3.4%	20%	5.1	7.2	2.8	4.3
5.9	Sam Aldegheri	L	TB	0.0%	26%	5.2	7.8	2.9	4.0
5.8	Andrew Painter	R	@MIL	8.3%	22%	5.0	7.1	3.1	4.3
2.1	Zach Agnos	R	@ATH	0.1%	6%	3.7	5.8	3.1	3.6

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@SF	-126	55.3	+0.71	-1.0	+106	+0.71	7.0	O -108	7.56	-0.01
Logan Webb	NYY	+104	44.7	-10.55	+1.0	-138	-10.55	7.0	U -112	7.56	-8.99

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@ SF	-126	55.2	0.66	-1.0	+106	0.66	7.0	O -105	7.57	1.64
Logan Webb	vs. NYY	+104	44.8	-10.48	+1.0	-138	-10.48		U -115		-10.37