topsecretdailynotesfile

Jun 1, 2026, 04:22 PM

TODAY

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

Pitchers are ranked in order of their Forecaster/Daily Notes projected fantasy points (FPTS), using ESPN's standard scoring system (2 points per win, minus-2 per loss, 3 per inning, 1 per K, minus-1 apiece per hit or walk allowed, minus-2 per earned run allowed).

T: The pitcher's handedness. OPP: Opposing team. RST%: The pitcher's roster percentage in ESPN leagues. W%: The individual starting pitcher's win probability using ESPN projections. IP: Projected innings pitched. H+BB: Projected hits plus walks allowed. ER: Projected earned runs allowed. K: Projected strikeouts.

If a team is planning on using an "opener" to start their game, but will rely on a "bulk pitcher" to follow him on the mound after 1-2 innings, the bulk pitcher is listed and indicated with an asterisk.

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
14.5	Joe Ryan	R	CWS	97.5%	55%	6.5	7.2	2.5	6.7
13.0	Jacob deGrom	R	@STL	97.9%	36%	5.7	6.2	2.1	6.0
12.5	Chase Burns	R	KC	96.2%	39%	5.8	6.7	2.5	6.5
11.0	Emmet Sheehan	R	@ARI	60.9%	39%	5.5	6.8	2.5	5.9
10.9	Sean Manaea*	L	@SEA	2.2%	28%	5.0	5.8	2.0	5.5
10.0	Michael McGreevy	R	TEX	30.2%	29%	5.5	6.5	2.2	4.4
9.9	Jose Soriano	R	COL	95.1%	49%	6.4	9.1	3.2	5.9
9.4	Emerson Hancock	R	NYM	81.9%	30%	5.5	7.0	2.5	4.9
9.1	Cade Cavalli	R	MIA	26.3%	31%	5.7	7.8	2.8	5.5
8.9	Landen Roupp	R	@MIL	50.3%	28%	5.5	7.5	2.7	5.3
8.5	Ty Madden	R	@TB	2.4%	20%	4.8	6.4	2.1	4.8
8.0	Sandy Alcantara	R	@WSH	69.5%	36%	6.0	8.2	3.3	4.7
7.2	Griffin Jax	R	DET	32.9%	7%	3.7	4.4	1.3	3.6
7.1	Eduardo Rodriguez	L	LAD	48.2%	25%	5.6	7.9	3.2	4.8
7.0	Shane Drohan	L	SF	2.6%	9%	3.9	4.9	1.7	4.0
6.2	Luinder Avila	R	@CIN	0.2%	8%	4.1	5.6	2.1	4.1
6.0	David Sandlin	R	@MIN	12.3%	6%	3.9	5.1	2.0	3.8
4.7	Kyle Freeland	L	@LAA	0.9%	22%	5.3	7.9	3.7	4.5

TOMORROW

STARTING PITCHER RANKINGS

FPTS	Pitcher	T	Opp	Rst%	W%	IP	H+BB	ER	K
14.5	Nathan Eovaldi	R	@STL	86.9%	53%	6.5	7.1	2.3	6.2
14.2	Logan Gilbert	R	NYM	96.3%	38%	6.0	6.4	2.2	6.6
12.5	Cam Schlittler	R	CLE	98.7%	41%	5.9	7.2	2.3	6.2
11.7	Bubba Chandler	R	@HOU	21.9%	33%	5.3	6.3	1.9	5.6
11.0	Jack Flaherty	R	@TB	35.0%	31%	5.2	6.5	2.0	5.8
10.4	Kyle Harrison	L	SF	75.0%	38%	5.5	7.0	2.5	5.6
10.2	Jonah Tong	R	@SEA	2.5%	19%	4.8	5.9	1.8	5.4
9.9	Davis Martin	R	@MIN	90.5%	37%	5.6	7.3	2.6	5.3
9.9	Andrew Abbott	L	KC	45.4%	34%	5.9	7.4	2.8	5.4
9.7	Dustin May	R	TEX	6.3%	25%	5.8	7.4	2.5	5.1
9.6	Noah Cameron	L	@CIN	9.0%	33%	5.5	7.0	2.8	5.5
9.5	Connelly Early	L	BAL	33.7%	33%	5.3	7.0	2.7	5.8
9.5	Mike Burrows	R	PIT	3.5%	28%	5.7	7.5	2.8	5.6
9.5	Jameson Taillon	R	ATH	6.6%	35%	5.7	6.9	2.8	4.8
9.2	Kevin Gausman	R	@ATL	96.6%	36%	5.5	7.1	2.8	5.3
8.8	Ryan Gusto	R	@WSH	0.0%	34%	5.5	7.0	2.8	4.7
8.7	Michael Soroka	R	LAD	51.4%	26%	5.2	6.7	2.5	5.0
8.4	Shane Baz	R	@BOS	24.4%	31%	6.1	8.7	3.6	6.1
8.3	Aaron Nola	R	SD	38.8%	19%	4.8	5.9	2.4	4.9
7.8	Grayson Rodriguez	R	COL	5.6%	33%	5.5	7.8	3.2	5.4
7.4	Gage Jump	L	@CHC	3.8%	13%	4.3	5.6	1.9	4.1
7.4	Randy Vasquez	R	@PHI	37.3%	31%	5.3	6.9	2.8	4.0
7.1	Joey Cantillo	L	@NYY	21.5%	17%	4.6	6.8	2.3	4.9
7.1	Trevor McDonald	R	@MIL	6.8%	21%	4.9	6.6	2.6	4.2
6.9	Bryce Elder	R	TOR	86.3%	23%	5.2	7.1	2.9	4.5
6.8	Steven Matz	L	DET	9.7%	7%	3.7	4.6	1.5	3.6
6.6	Tomoyuki Sugano	R	@LAA	2.2%	31%	5.7	7.9	3.5	4.3
6.2	Connor Prielipp	L	CWS	3.0%	17%	4.8	7.4	2.8	4.9
6.0	Miles Mikolas	R	MIA	0.5%	24%	5.2	7.0	3.1	3.9
5.8	Eric Lauer	L	@ARI	2.2%	21%	4.7	6.7	2.7	4.0

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@SF	-126	55.3	+0.71	-1.0	+106	+0.71	7.0	O -108	7.56	-0.01
Logan Webb	NYY	+104	44.7	-10.55	+1.0	-138	-10.55	7.0	U -112	7.56	-8.99

PITCHER	OPP.	MONEY LINE	PROJ. WIN%	VALUE %	RUN LINE	OV	VALUE %	GAME TOTAL	O/U	xRUNS	VALUE %
Max Fried	@ SF	-126	55.2	0.66	-1.0	+106	0.66	7.0	O -105	7.57	1.64
Logan Webb	vs. NYY	+104	44.8	-10.48	+1.0	-138	-10.48		U -115		-10.37