College Basketball Power Index

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The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team's W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day's rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily.

RKTEAMSeedRegionRd of 32Sweet 16Elite 8Final FourChamp GmTitle Win
T92New MexicoUNM11.1--4.8%1.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92WashingtonWASH11.5--0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92SMUSMU11.7--1.4%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92GeorgiaUGA11.7--0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92South CarolinaSC11.8--0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92MemphisMEM12.0--1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Santa ClaraSCU12.0--0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Wright StateWRST12.0--9.1%2.6%0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92PittsburghPITT12.1--0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92UNC GreensboroUNCG12.1--6.6%2.3%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92Loyola ChicagoL-IL12.1--9.8%3.0%0.7%0.2%0.1%0.0%
T92AlabamaALA12.2--0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92ToledoTOL12.3--5.4%1.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92UC IrvineUCI12.6--8.1%2.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92Northern IowaUNI12.6--4.9%1.2%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92TulsaTLSA12.7--0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92South FloridaUSF12.9--0.8%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92PennsylvaniaPENN12.9--3.5%1.0%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92Fresno StateFRES13.0--0.7%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92St. BonaventureSBU13.0--0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Washington StateWSU13.0--0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92OhioOHIO13.1--1.6%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92South DakotaSDAK13.3--5.2%1.2%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92AkronAKR13.3--4.1%1.3%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92St. John'sSJU13.3--0.8%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92UCLAUCLA13.4--0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92VanderbiltVAN13.4--0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92CaliforniaCAL13.5--0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92StanfordSTAN13.5--0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92NebraskaNEB13.5--0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Colorado StateCSU13.6--0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Missouri StateMOST13.6--3.6%1.0%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92RiderRID13.6--4.9%1.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92Texas StateTXST13.6--3.6%0.8%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92Wake ForestWAKE13.7--0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Texas A&MTA&M13.7--0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92George MasonGMU13.7--0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92North Dakota StateNDSU13.7--6.3%1.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
T92YaleYALE13.7--2.2%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92East CarolinaECU13.8--0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92TulaneTULN13.9--0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92North TexasUNT13.9--1.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Green BayGB13.9--3.9%0.8%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92UtahUTAH14.0--0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92SIU-EdwardsvilleSIUE14.0--0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92CharlestonCOFC14.1--2.9%0.8%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Ball StateBALL14.1--2.4%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92San DiegoUSD14.1--0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92Saint LouisSLU14.1--0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
T92DartmouthDART14.2--0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Glossary

  • Seed: Seed in NCAA Tournament, based on simulations where team makes tournament.
  • Region: Region in the NCAA Tournament.
  • Rd of 32: Chance to reach round of 32, based on simulations.
  • Sweet 16: Chance to reach Sweet 16, based on simulations.
  • Elite 8: Chance to reach Elite 8, based on simulations.
  • Final Four: Chance to reach Final Four, based on simulations.
  • Champ Gm: Chance to reach the NCAA Championship Game, based on simulations.
  • Title Win: Chance to win the NCAA Championship, based on simulations.

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