The craziest win-probability swings of Week 6
Pierre Garcon's questionable offensive pass interference penalty. Matt Ryan's crushing fourth-quarter pick. These are the plays that swung Week 6 in the NFL.
The game-changing plays from another wild college football Saturday
From last-second plays to game-winning TDs to big defensive stops, these are some of the biggest win-probability swings from a wild Saturday in college football.
FPI ranks best games of NFL Week 6
The Packers and Vikings both prevailed in games that came down to the wire last week, and their Week 6 head-to-head meeting figures to offer more excitement. ESPN's Football Power Index ranks Pack-Vikes No. 1 in its matchup quality metric for this week.
Early projection of 2018 NFL draft order
With the first five weeks of the season in the books, we use ESPN's FPI to predict the top 10 slots, with the Jets landing at No. 6.
Seahawks in control of NFC West after win over Rams
By virtue of their win over the Rams, the Seahawks are prohibitive favorites to take the division despite both teams standing at 3-2.
Updated NFL OTD leaderboard for Week 6
Our opportunity-adjusted touchdowns rankings tell you not only who's scoring, but who's getting the opportunities to score. Here we reveal our updated OTD table heading into Week 6.
Best and worst QBs of Week 5: Welcome to the Deshaun and Dak show
The top performances belonged to young stars Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott, who had huge days in losing efforts.
Rodgers strikes again: The craziest win-probability swings of Week 5
Aaron Rodgers led another comeback against the Cowboys, while Ben Roethlisberger and Eli Manning had rough moments. These are the plays that swung Week 5 in the NFL.
No team improved its FPI rating yesterday more than the Jaguars, who dramatically outperformed expectation against the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Chiefs remain at No. 1 after their win on Sunday night over the Texans.
The plays that changed everything in Week 6 of college football
From a game-winner in OT to the signature play in a monster upset to an instant-classic play in a heated rivalry, these are some of the biggest win-probability swings from a crazy Saturday in college football.
Ultimate MLB playoff rankings: Odds for every possible matchup, top units, biggest sluggers and more
From the powerhouses at the top to the wild cards hoping to make a run, we crunched the numbers to find out the Fall Classic formula. But this time of year, anything can happen.
Updated NFL OTD leaderboard for Week 5
Our opportunity-adjusted touchdowns rankings tell you not only who's scoring, but who's getting the opportunities to score. Here we reveal our updated OTD table heading into Week 5.
Who's overrated, underrated in NFL Power Rankings?
ESPN's latest NFL Power Rankings have the New England Patriots ranked No. 7 in the league. Football Power Index (FPI) data takes issue with that ranking, and a number of others on the too-high or too-low meter.
Best and worst QBs of Week 4: Rookies at No. 1 ... and No. 32
It was a tale of two rookies: Deshaun Watson had a record week, while DeShone Kizer crumbled.
The craziest win-probability swings of Week 4
A game-winning OT grab. A game-losing incompletion in the closing seconds. A game-changing sack. These are the plays that swung Week 4 in the NFL.
The game-changing plays from a wild Saturday in college football
From big runs to last-minute heroics, these are some of the biggest win probability swings from a wild Saturday in college football.
Think Alex Smith has changed his approach? Not so fast ...
The Chiefs are 3-0 and Alex Smith has the NFL's best traditional passer rating. On the other hand, he's 16th in total QBR. Here's why there's such a big discrepancy.
FPI ranks best games of NFL Week 4
Another week, another game including the Kansas City Chiefs ranking among the slate's top offerings. The league's best game, according to FPI, will be the Redskins' attempt to deal the Chiefs their first loss, with the Raiders-Broncos battle just behind.
Mathletes: Eagles' analytics team has an in-game line to Doug Pederson
When it comes to making key decisions during a game, the Eagles' head coach is listening to his analysts and their math.
Though Penn State, Michigan and Wisconsin are all ranked ahead of Ohio State in the AP poll, the Buckeyes still have the best chance to win the Big Ten.
Three best, three worst QBs of Week 3: Pricey passers fall flat
Jared Goff had the game of his life, while Cam Newton had a day to forget.
Updated NFL OTD leaderboard for Week 4
Our opportunity-adjusted touchdowns rankings tell you not only who's scoring, but who's getting the opportunities to score. Here we reveal our updated OTD table heading into Week 4.
Game winners galore: The craziest win-probability swings of Week 3
A walk-off 61-yard FG. A toe-tap TD. A goal-line stand as time expired. These are the plays that swung Week 3 in the NFL.
Barnwell: Seasons that changed over 23 minutes of Week 3 madness
Just how great were the 1 p.m. ET games on Sunday? The top five games produced the seventh-best average Excitement Index since 2005. Here's what you need to know about each matchup.
College football's best quarterbacks in Week 4
Auburn's Jarrett Stidham was a model of efficiency against Missouri, making him Week 4's best Power 5 quarterback.
The game-changing plays from Week 4 in college football
From last-second scores to special-teams heroics, these are some of the biggest win probability swings from Week 4 in college football.
Preseason BPI reveal shows just how dominant the Warriors will be
To the surprise of no one, the Golden State Warriors are the team the preseason NBA Basketball Power Index (BPI) identifies as the one to beat. The Warriors' biggest projected NBA title challenger comes from the East (and does not include LeBron).
Stephen A. suspicious of Cavs' low ranking.
Stephen A. Smith wonders if the stage is being set to excuse why LeBron James and the Cavs might not live up to expectations after ESPN's NBA Preseason BPI rankings slot Cleveland at No. 6.
FPI ranks best games of NFL Week 3
The classic AFC West matchup between the Chiefs and Chargers will shift to the StubHub Center, where the (perhaps-less-than capacity?) crowd will be treated to what FPI projects as Week 3's highest-quality contest.
Updated NFL OTD leaderboard for Week 3
Our opportunity-adjusted touchdowns rankings tell you not only who's scoring, but who's getting the opportunities to score. Here we reveal our updated OTD table heading into Week 3.
NFL's best and worst QBs of Week 2
Tom Brady returned to his old self against the friendly Saints defense, while DeShone Kizer threw two costly fourth-quarter interceptions.
College football's best quarterbacks in Week 3
Plenty of big-name Power 5 quarterbacks had monster performances in Week 3, including Mason Rudolph, Jalen Hurts and Trace McSorley. But you might be surprised who leads this group: Wisconsin's Alex Hornibrook.
The craziest win-probability swings of Week 2
A Gronk game-breaker. A dazzling scramble TD. A missed game-winning FG. These are the plays that swung Week 2 in the NFL.
The Patriots are back on top. After yielding the No. 1 spot in FPI's rankings for one week to the Chiefs, New England's dominating win over the Saints slid them back ahead of Kansas City.
The Panthers' field goal on 4th and goal from the 2, up 3 points in the 4th quarter, stands out as the biggest 4th down error of the week, losing 5% win probability based on the decision. Being up 6 with about 3 minutes to play merely invites the Bills to go for the TD and the win, rather than a FG to tie. And failing to convert wouldn't be so bad, leaving the Bills likely inside their own 2. Ultimately, it didn't cost the Panthers, as the Bills failed to score on their final drive.
The plays that changed everything on Saturday
From a Hail Mary being answered in Florida to overtime drama in Southern California, these are some of the biggest win probability swings from around the nation in college football.
The Cardinals completed the biggest comeback in terms of win probability so far in the young 2017 season. They had just a 3.2% chance of winning at their low-point: facing a 3rd and 20 at their own 18, down by 10 points in the 4th quarter.
NFL's best and worst QBs of Week 1
Sam Bradford torched the Saints for his highest Total QBR ever, while Andy Dalton made the wrong kind of history.
Your new FPI leader is ... the Chiefs?
The Kansas City Chiefs haven't reached the AFC Championship in 24 years and haven't played in a Super Bowl since the merger. By the early looks of it, the Football Power Index's Week 2 leader has a fighting chance to change that history.
Analytics expert says Jets' late punt an obvious mistake ... and explains why
Should the Jets have gone for it with four minutes remaining in the fourth quarter? The math says coach Todd Bowles blew it.
It's probably been awhile since this has been true: the Jacksonville Jaguars are now the AFC South favorites, according to FPI. Titans have second-best chance to win the division at 36%.
Andy Dalton's Week 1 performance was among worst ever
Andy Dalton's day against the Ravens in Week 1 placed him on a dubious list of all-time worst QBR performers. The silver lining? The list includes plenty of usually high achievers, including a future Hall of Famer who rebounded to win a Super Bowl.
The craziest win-probability swings of Week 1
A game-sealing circus catch. A stunning 78-yard TD. An upset-averting sack. These are the plays that swung the NFL's opening weekend.
The game-changing plays from a wild college football Saturday
From forced fumbles to big runs to key interceptions, these are some of the biggest win probability swings from Week 2 in college football.
Deshaun Watson wasn't great in his debut, posting a Total QBR of 40 in a half of action. But that was a lot better than Tom Savage, who recorded just a 7.1.
Projecting the 2017 NFL season, 1-32
Over/under picks. Bold predictions. NFL execs unfiltered. QB depth chart rankings. Go-to plays. It's all here for every NFL team.
Who's the best candidate to take down Patriots?
The 2017 New England Patriots are among the biggest Super Bowl favorites the usually parity-driven NFL has ever seen. Here are five teams with a realistic chance of flipping the script on the Pats' expected repeat.
Tale of the tape: 2007 Patriots vs. 2017 Patriots
Who would win in a theoretical matchup pitting the 16-0 Patriots from 2007 against the defending Super Bowl champion 2017 Patriots? Here are the position-by-position breakdowns, projected point spread and more.